Tuesday, July 12, 2011

http://financialhighway.com/8-tips-to-prepare-for-next-recession/

Here are eight tips to prepare you for the next recession:
1. Understand Recession
Recession is a normal part of the economic cycle, every few years we go through it and come back out. For some it may feel like it is the end of the world and everything is falling apart they forget that it’s a cycle. Understanding recession will give you some peace of mind and will take away the unknown factor.
2. Reduce Your Debt
Debt was one of the primary causes of the recession. If you have any consumer loans try to get rid of it to ensure you are still solvent. Do not get fooled by the low interest rates, it’s a trap. If you have credit cards you can call your institution to reduce your rates or transfer them to a new card with low rates, than pay it off as fast as you can.
3. Build Up Your Emergency Fund
It is astonishing to find out how many households do not have an emergency fund. We talked about emergency fund previously and how important it is. If you do not have one your first priority should be to build now. If you already have an emergency fund ensure that it is enough and add some more to it, this will give you at least some psychological support.
4. Cut Costs
Reduce your spending. Often you can reduce your bills if you call your service providers and ask for it. It may not always work but it is worth a try, in 2001 I was able to cut my cable bill by a huge amount and get extra’s permanently.
5. Balance Your Portfolio
Balance your portfolio on regular bases to stay within your asset allocation. The recession will bruise your portfolio, but do not panic. Do not be afraid of stocks if you have a long term view, recessions are the best time to purchase good long term investments.
6. Do More At Work
If you are worried about your employment make sure you work harder than you have in the past, make yourself useful to your company. Learn new skills and attend extra courses, the more you know the more valuable you will be to your employer.
7. Diversify Your Income
Diversifying your income can act as a buffer during a recession. If you haven’t already started this process, now maybe a good time to think about it. It’s basically having different income streams so in case you lose your job there is some income.
8. Continue With Your Investment Plan
If you are saving for long term goals continue to do so. Recession is a bad time to change your investment strategy, if you are a buy-and-hold investor continue to do so.


household spending was down -0.4% the first spending reduction since 1995. It is no secret that we are in the midst of a very severe global recession, one that we have not seen in decades.
Although recession is not the greatest thing, there are some good sides to a recession, but before we get into that let’s take a quick look at what causes recessions.
A recession is caused when consumers do not spend money hence become savers causing companies to cut costs including labour costs, which increases unemployment and reduces disposable income forcing more consumer to cut spending…. and the cycle goes on. Government and Central banks have some tools available to them to stimulate the economy, like cutting interest rates and introducing stimulus packages. However it takes time for these measures to work and in the mean time the economy deteriorates.
This is a very simple explanation of a recession it is a little more complicated in reality, but it makes the point.
Recession is a Good thing
Recession is not all bad, there are some good sides to it. Such as Price drops, Interest rate drops, Stock market drops.
Price Drops
During an economic boom period goods and services prices start to go up very fast causing high levels of inflation, a recession reduces the rate of inflation. Sometimes prices come down for a short period. A recession is like a big sale, you will see all types of deals and incentives from companies, you can get things for much cheaper prices then a year ago.
Interest Rate Drop
Interest rates also come down reducing borrowing costs for consumers and business this often increases disposable income. It can also be a good time to make purchases on credit or loan, like a new car or home.
Stock Market Decline
Another upside of a recession is stock market decline, some of it is justified as companies’ earnings decline so do their stock prices, but often investors just get scared and go on a selling spree bringing the companies to a great value.
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How can you take advantage of a recession?
If you have a secure job and some cash on hand a recession is a great time to do either of the following:
1. Make those large purchases or renovations you wanted to do
2. Start investing in the stock market
As I mentioned earlier, recessions cause price drops and bring great deals, if you have the cash available it is a good time to look for great bargains.
With stock markets at historic lows it would also make good financial sense to start investing in very stable companies, I wouldn’t recommend lump sums investments I would rather dollar cost average, small amounts on regular bases. This strategy has worked well in the past as Canadian Capitalist points out.
Either way you would be part of the solution to the recession.
Not Enough Cash
On the other hand if you do not have a lot of cash available, you can start cutting down on some costs and save some money to take advantage of the recession. If you are in this camp you would be part of the problem.
I must admit I am part of the problem, although the concern is not job security. For me it is getting ready for the economic recovery and wedding this summer.
My cuts
I thought I share some of the expenses that we have cut back on:
Cell phone: Although my phone plan is still fairly high due to data plan, I was able to cut down about $20/mth.
Gas: We reduced driving around and we try to get as many things done as possible ones we get out, able to cut $50/mth
Cable: Got rid of some channels and return to basic cable savings of $15/mth

Internet:
Talking to customer service I was able to lower the cost $10/mth
Recreation: We decided to go out less, go to movies on Tuesdays ($4.99) and we have Scotia Scene accounts where we accumulate points for free movies savings of $50/mth
Clothing: Reducing spending on clothing saving us about $40/mth
Our total monthly savings about $195/mth
What do we do with the money?
Well most of it is sitting in Scotia Money Master Savings account and waiting to be deployed.
What camp are you in solution or problem?

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